In brief A score each tool vendor calculates with its own formula to estimate how much work it would take to break into the top results for a search.
What keyword difficulty means
The score answers a practical question: how contested is the space others already hold for this search? To answer it, the tool looks at the pages sitting at the top today and sums up their strength in a single number. That number describes the current competitors, not your page.
Two levels need to stay apart. The search engine orders its results with systems of its own that weigh very different signals, from link analysis to understanding the language of the query. Keyword difficulty is an attempt to approximate that outcome from the outside, using whatever data each vendor manages to collect. Nobody with real access to the search engine publishes an equivalent figure.
Two awkward consequences follow. First: two tools can return very different values for the same search without either being wrong, because they measure different things on different scales. Second: the same value means different things for two different sites. A project with history, links and settled content on a topic competes under conditions a freshly launched one does not have. That is why the number works as an order of magnitude inside one tool and loses its meaning as soon as it is compared across vendors or read as a forecast.
How it is calculated
There is no shared formula. Each vendor decides what to look at and how to weight it, then publishes the result on a scale of 0 to 100 that resembles the others only by habit of format.
The starting point is almost always the same: the set of best-ranking pages for the query, usually the first ten. Strength signals are measured on that sample. The most widespread one is the number of distinct domains linking to those pages, sometimes as a weighted average, sometimes as a median. Some tools stop there and say so openly. Others add layers: the ratio of followed to non-followed links, the authority score they themselves assign to the domains that show up, search volume, special blocks on the results page or the length of the query.
Every layer changes what the number means. A score built from links alone measures something concrete and verifiable. A score mixing in-house authority, volume and result format covers more ground but also turns more opaque, because it packs a second proprietary metric inside the first. Neither of them captures what weighs most in many cases: whether your content serves the search intent better than what already sits at the top. That factor cannot be summed up in a value calculated from the outside, which is why the number ages badly as soon as the results shift.
Why it matters
The decision that hangs on this figure is one of allocation, not of writing. When a hundred queries are on the table and the budget covers twenty pieces, the queue needs a sorting criterion. Read alongside volume and search intent, the estimated difficulty helps separate what can pay off this quarter from what will demand two years of authority work.
That use carries real value in conversations with management and with clients. It lets you justify why a heavily searched query is not in the plan yet and what it would take to get it there. It also sets expectations: a new project that goes straight for the most contested queries burns budget for months with no sign of progress.
The limit matters just as much. The figure does not say whether you will rank, when, or with which page. Nor does it replace looking at the actual results for the query, where you see what kind of page the search engine wants and whether your format fits. Taken as a priority order it is useful. Taken as a forecast it becomes an excuse not to publish.
Good practice
- Pick one tool as your reference and never mix values from several in the same table.
- Calibrate the scale against your own track record: check which values you have managed to rank for, with which pages and in how long, and use that range as the project's internal threshold.
- Open the results page before deciding: look at what kind of page holds the top spots and whether you can offer something better in that format.
- Read the figure together with volume and search intent; none of the three decides on its own.
- Measure again when the project gains authority or the results change, because the value goes stale without warning.
- Note the tool and the date next to every value in the plan, so that in six months it is clear where the number came from.
Common mistakes
- Comparing values from different tools as if they measured the same quantity.
- Presenting the figure to a client or to management as if it came from the search engine.
- Dropping a query over its score without having looked at the results it actually returns.
- Copying blanket thresholds from an article instead of calibrating them against your own site's record.
- Confusing difficulty with profitability: an easy query with no connection to what you sell still contributes nothing.
Manuel Riveiro Rodriguez CEO & Digital Strategist
A technical audit covers this and everything else in one pass.
Request an audit Frequently asked
Does keyword difficulty come from Google?
No. Google publishes no metric of this kind. Each tool vendor calculates it with its own data and its own formula, and it only approximates from the outside what the search engine's ranking systems do. Presenting it to a client as an official figure costs the whole report its credibility.
Why do two tools return different values for the same query?
Because they do not measure the same thing. One may rely almost entirely on the domains linking to the best-ranking pages, another may combine links, in-house authority, volume and result format. Both scales run from 0 to 100, but they cannot be converted into each other.
From which value is a query worth going after?
There is no universal threshold, and any figure quoted as one belongs to a particular tool's scale. A usable threshold is calibrated against your own site: check which values you have managed to rank for so far and in how long, and take that range as your internal reference.
Can you rank for a query with a high score?
Yes, and it happens regularly when the content serves the search intent better than the pages already at the top. The score describes the strength of those competitors, above all their link profile, and measures neither the quality nor the fit of what you publish.
How often should the estimate be reviewed?
Whenever something relevant changes: the results for the query, the site's authority or the content plan. On stable topics, a check at each planning cycle is enough. A value saved a year ago describes a competitive field that probably no longer exists in that form.
Sources
- Google's documentation on its own ranking systems (link analysis, freshness systems, language understanding and others) serves as a primary source for the subject these estimates try to approximate, and nowhere mentions a keyword difficulty metric.
- Ahrefs discloses its method: it takes the ten best-ranking pages and derives the score from the domains linking to them, and notes that the value for the same query varies substantially from tool to tool.
- Semrush documents a calculation with more inputs: referring domains, the ratio of followed to non-followed links, its own authority score, search volume, special blocks on the results page and query length.